OPINION: Scaremongers are still twisting the true picture

Sorry to return to my bugbear of last month, but will someone

please explain the continued use of phrases such as 'recession' and

'troubled ad market'?



Every media story that pops up on Reuters includes some reference to ad

market strife - even when the meat of the story contradicts the idea

that revenues are slipping.



Last week's first-quarter results from Omnicom were a classic case in

point. Profits were up 20 per cent to dollars 79.7m. Nevertheless, as is

the way of things at the moment, this was reported as a bucking of

trends due to new business wins, rather than a sign that, perhaps,

things were not all doom and gloom.



There were other encouraging reports last week. AC Nielsen revealed

German adspend for March was just 1 per cent behind spend in the

corresponding period last year, which was an all-time record month.



Better still, the IPA issued its respected Bellwether Report - based on

information from 300 UK marketing departments - revealing that 40 per

cent of all advertisers are increasing their ad budget compared with

just 20 per cent who were considering cuts.



And next month, the Business Information Forum, which has been

researching the health of the business magazine sector for some months,

will reveal that an pounds 11bn business is growing rapidly, and is set

to reach the pounds 13bn mark by the end of next year.



Can we please be clear about this? Anyone who made hay while the dotcom

sun shone is going to struggle to make their 2001 figures match last

year's figures. In addition, TV inflation last year - fuelled by

unprecedented demand - will make it tough for the TV sales houses to

match 2000 revenues. But these sectors aside, things really look pretty

healthy.



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