Carlton and Granada fall as ITV ad forecasts are cut

LONDON - Shares in ITV companies Carlton Communications and Granada fell this morning after investment bank Merrill Lynch further cut their forecasts, as ITV's advertising outlook worsened.

The bank said ITV ad forecasts have been cut to a decrease of 9.7% from a decrease of 7% for the year to September 2002, and to a drop of 2.5% from 0% for the year to December 2002. This cut is based on lower ITV advanced bookings for December, which are currently down to a drop of 25% against earlier estimates of a 14% fall.

Carlton shares fell 2.2% to 187.75p after the bank downgraded the stock to "reduce" from "neutral". It also slashed its 2002 Ebitda forecast by 32% to £51m.

Shares in Granada fell 0.8% to 134p, as Merrill Lynch trimmed its 2002 Ebitda forecast by 14% to £138.5m.

The bank added that the sale of ITV Digital's database to BSkyB was a possibility, as was the digital terrestrial broadcaster's closure.

Claire Billings, recommends

Carlton Communications

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