Adspend forecast for 2011 revised upwards

The Advertising Association and Warc have raised their forecast for 2011 adspend to 2.3% from 2% but cautioned the outlook "remains clouded by economic factors".

Forecasts: adspend set to improve in 2011
Forecasts: adspend set to improve in 2011

Risks in 2011 include the effect of government spending cuts as well as concerns about unemployment, .

AA and Warc have upwardly revised their estimate of 2010 adspend from the 5.4% predicted in September to 6.6%.

This would make 2010 the strongest year for adspend growth since 2004, but would only put expenditure back to the levels of 2003-2004 following several difficult years for the industry.

The VAT increase from 15% to 17.5% scheduled for January is expected to have led advertisers to bring spend forward into the fourth quarter of this year.

Suzy Young, data editor at Warc, said: "While UK adspend has exceeded all expectations so far in 2010, it's wise to remain cautious when looking to next year.

"We expect spend to increase by just over 2% in 2011, but there are risks ahead, especially with government spending cuts and concerns about unemployment."

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